source: jsmineset.com

Jim,

Armstrong sees the Gold bull market lasting until roughly 2016 (17.2 years starting in 1999). Is it at this point that you see the USDX bottoming at .5200?

Is it at that point when you see the Federal Reserve Gold Certificate put in place? According to cyclical analysis it would come at the low point business wise of the 17.2 cycle.

How long do you think this world monetary system will take to be implemented?

I guess once again the US will lead the process.

Do you think China (or India) will take a major role in it?

Will it be done under the IMF umbrella?

After the Federal Reserve Gold Certificate is in place, do you believe that the world´s economy can enjoy some period of stability (with the exception of geopolitical considerations)?

Best regards,
CIGA Christopher

Christopher,

I see the USDX bottoming between .4600 and .5200, yes. I have learned not to argue with Armstrong on cycle timing. Gold should have a temporary high point between January 14th and June 25th, 2011.
Implementation is not a process, it is a surprise.

The US will not necessarily lead the process. By then the IMF will be the Western World Central Bank, if not in name, certainly in function.

China and India will play a major role by demand via back financial channels.

It will likely be done under the IMF umbrella as part of a Super Sovereign Currency.

After the Federal Reserve Gold Certificate is in place the world’s economy should be able to enjoy a period of stability for a considerable amount of time, but with a total rearrangement of positions of national economic powers moving towards Asia and do not forget Jakaya Kikwete and the common market of sub Sahara African countries of merit and leadership. They are there.

Regards,
Jim

As I write to you this evening, the very real prospect of hyper-inflation, a catastrophic currency event, is staring down the vast world of US dollar-denominated paper promissory notes. Gold is behaving like a bright comet in the sky, grabbing the attention of the keen observer and giving them an edge over others who are too distracted to look up.

The confidence model is rapidly crumbling, after many years of neglect; the US dollar bubble is finally bursting in an awesome way. If there were genuine integrity, then surely such a model would do; but the lack of sufficient moral fortitude in the hearts of men, makes it virtually impossible to have a confidence based economy for very long; because the confidence is merely an illusion and the model can only be sustained as long as the illusion persists.

On the daily chart, we see panic buying (and short covering) driving the price of gold to well above $1200 dollars. Major central banks, such as the Indian central bank, have become large-scale buyers of Gold.

It looks like my original medium-term target of $1379 is going to be upon us relatively soon. Our next target may soon be followed by a touch of the inflation-adjusted high of $1650, followed by a period of consolidation.

Gold Daily Chart: December 21, 2008 - December 2, 2009

The picture becomes clearer if we look at the inflation-adjusted monthly chart, showing the gold price action clear back to 1970. Considering official inflation statistics, we can see that gold has yet to move past its previous high, despite a vast expansion in monetary aggregates, which has occurred during the past several decades.

Gold Monthly: 1970 - 2009: $1650 Price Objective

Nobody can say for sure what will happen with the short-term fluctuations. But longer-term it is quite clear that the price of gold will move into the $5,000 range, as the reality of the need for hard assets sets in. It doesn’t take but a few billion dollars worth of gold purchases to create a significant increase in the gold price. Given all of the trillions of dollars already in circulation and the trillions planned for bailouts; the target of $5,000 will likely turn out to be a conservative target, once the dust has all cleared.

A golden comet now lights up the sky; an omen of what is in store for our future.  Gold is up just over 50% during the last 1-year period.  Given the buying strength we are seeing lately, especially from central banks, we will likely see gold in the $1600 range quite soon.

Of course, there will be road-bumps along the way; but the general course will take us to $1650 and then into the $3000-5000 range.  Where Gold goes beyond there depends on the monitary policies of the United States and what kind of thinking takes hold as all of this inflation begins to hit hard where it hurts.

The beautiful thing about gold, is the fact that it gives us all a clear omen, which allows the wise and observant among us, a chance to prepare for difficult times ahead.  This golden comet will become ever more brilliant with the passage of time.  Perhaps most of us will soon realize what is occurring and what they must do to deal with the situation.  This situation isn’t going to go away on it’s own and nobody is going to solve the problems  it creates for us in our stead.

Gold Swiss Stair Formation Following Wedge Breakout

The price of gold has cleared the former all-time high, reaching into the $1040 (USD) range for the first time in the history of the yellow metal.  The chart below illustrates how gold formed and broke through a bullish inverted head & shoulders formation, broke through the top of a consolidation wedge, and broke through a wedge in the MACD indicator.

With an RSI reading of 70, gold is one hot commodity.  This should start ringing some alarm bells at major money centers around the world.  It is becoming ever-more apparent, that we are experiencing a serious rout of inflation which could very well turn into a devastating wave of hyper-inflation in due time.

Gold Breakout Chart: October 7, 2009

As of September 25, gold has broken through two long-term formations and sits at the neckline of an inverse head & shoulders formation.

Given that gold closed the week at the neckline of such a long-term Head & Shoulders formation, after having shown such resilience over the past few weeks, it is time we prepare ourselves for a significant move, further into unknown territory. The chart above indicates that gold is acting like a coiled spring, ready for the slightest trigger, to send it into launch mode; bringing the price into the $1200-1300 USD range.

When I look at this chart, I am reminded of the 2002-2003 period, when gold was hovering around the $375 range in a large wedge formation. At the time everyone was thinking, “this must be it for gold, it’s already had such a run from $250, the bull run surely must be over by now.”

I remember seeing the wedges, similar to the current chart, though less volatile than the current price fluctuations. I remember seeing a good-sized wedge in the MACD which had broken to the upside. In fact, it was at this time that Jim Sinclair, the CEO of Tanzanian Royalty Exploration and the author of Jim Sinclair’s Mine Set had a contest for gold community members to draw the relevant trend lines on an Investors Business Daily gold chart that he provided. The prize for this contest was a one ounce gold coin.

Well, I took Jim up on his offer and drew formations similar to those on the attached chart. Including a MACD breakout precisely like the one on the current chart. I made the chart simple yet elegant and intuitive and fortunately for me; out of all of the hundreds of charts sent in to his fax, he chose mine as the winner. What a great feeling that was and what an appreciation I gained for the power that each of us has to understand what is going on in the economic world with elegant simplicity not endless complexity.

It was even more rewarding to see gold advance to $450 by late 2004 and then $700 by 2006. What you have to realize, when you are studying these charts, is the fact that the underlying forces which propel gold skyward have not changed. The governments and central banks of the world continue to employ their disastrously flawed Keynesian economic models which create welfare, warfare and ultimately massive inflation.

Politicians love having all of the “free” money, hot off the printing press, to buy votes, line the pockets of their associates and bail out their friends. That is why these leftist notions of a nanny state taking care of us from cradle to grave, often embraced by Republicans and Democrats alike, is not going to solve the problems it was intended to solve.

This is because everything has a cost, yes even the nanny state, corporate welfare and the like. As the price of the yellow metal rises the buying power of the savings of billions of individuals decreases; so they are in effect robbed in broad daylight by the Keynesian inflationary policies. Is it any wonder that the standard of living continues to decline all over the western world.

“We can’t solve problems by using the same kind of thinking we used when we created them.” –Einstein

One of these days, it may dawn upon people, en mass; that in general the government doesn’t solve problems, it only creates problems. So the only way to truly solve problems is by strictly limiting the role of government to that of a referee and letting the free market bring about the solutions we need.

Had the free market been allowed to act upon zombie banks years ago, when the problems first arose; these banks would have never become “too big to fail.” Had the free markets been allowed to act, unhindered, in the health care field, we would have more choices and less people unable to get the help they need.

Unfortunately, with the public school educated populace; the first place they turn whenever their is a problem is the government. So we have the Hegelian dialectic, “(problem) oh goodness, what a dreadful problem! — (reaction) what are they going to do about it? — (solution) the policies that were originally sought, but did not find the political support are now widely supported and then implemented without much opposition.”

It really saddens me to see my countrymen repeating this cycle over and over again, unaware and uncaring of the fact that it makes their lives much more difficult and constrained. I often wonder when it will become apparent to them that all of this nonsense isn’t working. Will it be when gold is at 3,000? 5,000? 10,000?

I can’t say for sure when decisive action will be taken; but if history is any indicator, inevitably there will come a point at which the pull of the massively centralized state on people’s lives distorts the culture of these people to such an extent that they decide they’ve had enough of it. This would be the point where they realize that it costs so much more to live in a massive welfare state than the benefits that are derived from it and the productive individuals either demand real change, or they pull up anchor and head for some place which will suit their needs.

It looks the yellow metal is preparing for another increase. Tonight it is moving above the key $1000 level to $1008 USD. Based upon the inverted Head & Shoulders formation on the medium-term chart, the target on this move is approximately $1379. If this indeed occurs, it means a tremendous selloff in the US Dollar; because gold almost always acts in inverse of the US dollar.

The extent to which the dollar falls relative to the other currencies depends on how much gold increases relative to those currencies. As has been predicted for years, we are moving from a confidence based economy into a hard asset based economy.

Over then coming weeks, I expect we will see some shocking dollar corrections in the currency markets; which will begin to wreak havoc over the daily lives of billions of people. We are likely to see civil unrest, rapid increases in prices for everyday items and shortages.

Elliott Wave Formation in Gold as it Reacts off of its all-time high at $1037.

Gold broke out of the recent consolidation wedge, confirming some recent bullish activity.

I want to take a moment to relate some information that has come to my attention recently, which has the potential to affect everyone on this planet; but particularly those in the united States of America, since they will first be affected by this.

Over the course of the last couple of decades, the financial managers have been allowed to regulate themselves. There was an implicit mandate to create a boom in the housing market in order to bolster the economy.

In order to create this housing boom, a variety of “exotic” financial instruments were employed, which enable them to leverage their assets, and give more loans than they would have generally been able to give. Most of the troubled financial institutions of today were using “off-balance sheet” entities to hold these financial instruments, many of which were very risky.

Well, it looks as if the widely abused loop-hole that allowed them to keep things off of their balance sheet back-fired in an awesome way. Now the new financial accounting standard regulations FAS 140 are forcing them to move these entities back onto their balance sheet and realize any gains or losses.
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This is an interesting discussion by Anthony J. Hilder, he discusses the deteriorating economic situation, and how the elite use manipulate gold to keep the vast majority of the people from being on the right side of the market.

Anthony really has a way with words. He has quite an ability to be blunt about the reality of things, yet never fails to have a sense of humor.

Anthony, along with Myron C. Fagan, released the original expose on the Illuminati and the Council on Foreign Relations back in the 1960’s.

This was long before much of anyone was talking about something smelling rotten in Denmark. Its time we incite a revelation, to avoid a revolution. It’s your choice: live or die as a slave.

Its no joke. They really do plan to kill, enslave or incarcerate you.

Just take a sober look around. Do you see the thousands of people getting kicked out of their homes? Do you see the banks collapsing and the customers demanding their money?

These are the final hours, the last chances you have to prepare for severe hyper-inflation, the likes of which we have yet to see.

Back in 2006, Lindsey Williams addressed the Q2 conference in Cancun, Mexico, regarding a variety of important matters. He discussed the so-called “energy crisis”, the coming hyper-inflation, and the methods by-which the wealthy control the financial system.

He started by discussing his book The Energy Non-Crisis, a book that he wrote, based upon his experiences as chaplain on the trans-Alaska oil pipeline.

During his time in Alaska, Lindsey Williams learned that there is a massive supply of oil at Prudhoe Bay, on the North Slope of Alaska. Enough oil to drop the price of gasoline at the gas pump significantly.

Williams also learned that the Government of the United States refused to allow this oil to enter the markets, when it learned of the Prudhoe Bay find.

Pumping the oil out of the North Slope was banned because, if the USA had cheap and plentiful oil, the oil producing nations would no-longer have a reason to purchase US treasury securities. Also it would lower the profit margin for the oil cartels.

Cheap oil would cause the US Dollar to quickly collapse, since the ties between the united States of America and these nations would effectively be severed. This will happen anyways, however, since wall-street has effectively lost its strangle-hold on the oil market, with the waning of the petro-dollar and the rise of the petro-euro.

During his speech, back in 2006, he predicted oil at over $130/bbl and gold at $1000, both of which we are seeing today. Indeed, Lindsey Williams has demonstrated, time and again, that his information is valid and credible.

A great deal can be learned from this man’s books and lectures. Here is the Q2 lecture for your own enlightenment. See the Lindsey Williams tag for more of the information posted on this site.

My friends, we are past the point of no-return, from which we could salvage the current monetary system. The present system is experiencing systemic world-wide hyper-inflation, which will only be stopped when a new monetary system is introduced.

Lyndon LaRouche believes that there is no more future for this monetary system. He says that we are at a cross-roads, where we can choose between two paths.

On the one hand, we could choose to use warfare and welfare to prolong the life-span of the current system. Such an approach would drag our world into another dark-age.

On the other hand, we could choose a new system, in which we have a stable monetary system, which rewards productivity and stability; a system which increases food production instead of fighting over the few scraps that are available.

Like Weimar Germany, the productive capacity of our real economy has been destroyed. However, we have done this to ourselves, through our adherence to the belief in globalization.